Northern lights forecast

🌌 Núverandi KP & 3 daga norðurljósaspá

Rauntíma NOAA Kp-gildi (UTC+0) & tímalína

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3 daga spá (UTC+0)

Northern Lights – Essential Guide

Clear, readable facts without the fluff. Perfect for planning your aurora night in Iceland.

☀️Space Weather Overview

A live snapshot from NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center showing current solar and geomagnetic conditions that drive auroral activity. Watch how solar storms, solar wind, and geomagnetic indices evolve in real time.

NOAA Space Weather Overview Graphic
🛰️Live Aurora Forecast

Real-time visibility predictions from NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. The green oval shows where aurora activity is likely visible. In some forecasts, red shading may appear, indicating regions with very strong auroral probability and intensity.

Live Aurora Forecast Map showing predicted visibility zones
🔄 Updated automatically from satellite data • Best viewing during dark, clear nights with higher Kp index values
☁️Cloud Cover Forecast

Clear skies are just as important as solar activity. This live Windy.com map shows real-time cloud cover over Iceland, helping you find the darkest, clearest spots to watch the Northern Lights. Zoom and drag to plan your hunt.

27‑Day Aurora Forecast

Extended geomagnetic activity outlook from NOAA SWPC

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Activity Levels
Quiet (Kp 0–2)Low aurora activity
Unsettled (Kp 3–4)Moderate activity
Active (Kp 5–6)Good aurora chances
Storm (Kp 7–9)Excellent visibility
🌌 Space Weather Science

The Kp Index — Aurora Forecast Guide

A globally calculated measure of geomagnetic disturbance. Not a brightness scale — a planetary magnetic index, recalculated every 3 hours from 13 observatories worldwide.

How It Works
☀️

Solar Wind

The Sun streams charged particles (electrons & protons) continuously into space.

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Magnetic Collision

Particles hit Earth's magnetosphere, generating currents that distort our magnetic field.

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Magnetometers

Ground instruments measure these magnetic fluctuations in nanoteslas (nT).

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Global Average

Every 3 hours, 13 stations at 44°–60° N/S standardise and average their readings into one Kp value.

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Quasi-Logarithmic Scale: Each step up the Kp scale represents a massive, non-linear increase in magnetic energy. A jump from Kp 3→5 requires exponentially more solar wind energy than Kp 1→2.

Iceland's Geographical Advantage

Iceland sits directly beneath the quiet-state Auroral Oval — the permanent crown of northern lights around Earth's magnetic pole. Kp levels manifest far more dramatically here than in mainland Europe or the northern US.

Kp 0–2 Centered directly over Iceland
Kp 3–5 Expands south toward Scotland & Northern US
Kp 6–9 Pushes to Central Europe & Southern US
Kp Index Breakdown — Iceland
KpClassificationMagnetic ActivityVisual Behaviour in Iceland
0Quiet< 5 nTFaint, stable auroral arcs low on the northern horizon. Camera sensors easily capture green — naked eye may see only a pale white glow.
1Quiet5–10 nTSlow-moving green bands visible directly overhead. Peaceful, distinct arc thanks to Iceland's high-latitude position.
2Quiet → Unsettled10–20 nT🟢 "Default" Iceland Aurora. Standard bright green ribbons across the zenith with slow, waving motion.
3Unsettled20–40 nTHighly active. Multiple parallel arcs crossing the sky. Bright greens visible even in Reykjavík with light pollution.
4Active40–70 nTDynamic movement. Sharp purple/pink hues appear at arc edges as high-energy particles penetrate deeper into nitrogen-rich atmosphere.
5
G1 Storm
Minor Storm70–120 nT🟠 Geomagnetic Storm threshold. Fast-moving bright rays. Auroral corona (lights radiating from a single zenith point) becomes highly likely.
6
G2 Storm
Moderate Storm120–200 nTIntense brightness. Aurora flickers and pulses across the entire sky. Vivid pinks, purples, and deep greens visible simultaneously.
7
G3 Storm
Strong Storm200–330 nTSevere ionisation. Aurora blankets zenith and the southern sky. High-speed, sweeping waves of light across the full dome.
8–9
G4–G5
Severe → Extreme330–500+ nT🔴 Rare CME impact. Sky flooded with intense red (upper-atmosphere oxygen) and deep purple. Glow casts visible light on snow below.
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Kp 0–2 · Watch & Wait

Stationary northern glow. Patience required.

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Kp 2–4 · Excellent Odds

Reliable, active aurora. Ideal chasing conditions.

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Kp 5+ · Guaranteed Display

Intense, dynamic shows. Don't miss it. 🌌




Detailed long term forecast for

«Weather forecast from Yr, delivered by the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and NRK»